Showing posts with label business. Show all posts
Showing posts with label business. Show all posts

Saturday, January 18, 2025

UK Economy Is Flatlining


UK Economy Is Flatlining

 

Like a patient on the operating table with no pulse, the UK economy is barely growing. Prime Minister, Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves are desperately banging on the chest of the patient trying to revive it, but they don’t know how to bring it back to life.  

 

December figures show that the economy barely grew by just 0.1%.

 

They talk of growth, but where is it going to come from?

 

China’s economy grew by 5% last year.  

 

Retail sales were down in December! I’ve never heard of retail sales falling over Christmas. 

 

More inflation is expected as UK borrowing costs and bond yields have risen sharply.

 

The country’s additional borrowing costs will run to £12 billion per annum.  Paid by us, taxpayers of course.  Governments screw up, we foot the bill.

 

This could mean higher interest rates and higher mortgage costs for all of us at a time, and the Bank of England should be cutting rates.

 

The market has lost confidence in the UK chancellor Rachel Reeves. She is out of her depth and reminds me the person that talks a good game and job interview but in reality hasn’t got a clue when they’ve got the job.

 

Labour have got off to the worst start and any government I’ve never known.

 

They want to give away the Chagos islands to Mauritius, and then lease it back at a cost of £9 billion!

 

I’ve heard of sale and leaseback, but not “give” and leaseback. 

 

This will surely be remembered as the Prime Minister’s “Gordon Brown” moment. Gordon Brown was the Labour chancellor who sold off the U.K.’s gold reserves to China at rock bottom prices. Gold has risen by at least 10 times since the ill-fated sell-off.

 

They inexplicably cut the small winter fuel allowance for millions of pensioners, taxed private school fees, and raised national insurance costs for employers, taxed our farmers and borrowed an additional £145 billion, all of which have made them hugely unpopular. 

 

And yet, the FT 100 index, reached a record level today! Apparently they expect interest rates to be cut by 0.25% when the Bank of England meet next month

 

Will the Bank of England hold or cut rates next month?

 

The implications are huge for the country and for the 700,000 borrowers who will come off fixed interest rates this year, as well as the first-time buyers who want to go on the property ladder.  

 

Buy to let property investment has become almost unviable, unless you have a large deposit or buying cheap properties up in the north-east. 

 

Some good news could be on the horizon for first time buyers as regulators are expected to relax lending rules. However, could this lead to another boom and bust?

 

The massive building firm Taylor Wimpey has reported good profits of over £400 million last year and they built almost 10,000 new homes. Perhaps labours plan to relax planning rules will bring more homes onto the housing market. 

 

China

 

What is going on between Labour and China?

 

Why did Rachel Reeves desert her post at the time of the bond crisis last week?  

 

What are they given away for China to buy UK bonds? The Chinese government does not give anything without expecting something in return, and they normally bargain very hard. 

 

Foreign Secretary, David Lammy is expected to approve a new super embassy for China on the site of the old Royal Mint. 

 

Why does any country need a super embassy with hundreds of “diplomats”?

 

Donald Trump could turn the US economy around, but will we get a decent trade deal after labour have alienating themselves from the new president elect?

 

David Lammy, with his personal attacks, labour sending 100 people to America to canvas for Joe Biden during the US elections and now rushing to sign a deal with Mauritius before the presidential inauguration on January 20. 

 

Now it appears Labour are getting closer to China.  

 

The previous government cooled relations with China over Chinese technology, tensions over Hong Kong and Taiwan, the South China Sea, cyber security and allegations of spying.

 

In summary, the lunatics have taken over the asylum!

 

What does this mean for you?

 

What can we do to cope on a personal level?

 

If you believe we are entering choppy waters and stormy weather, now is the time to batten down the hatches and tighten your belts. 

 

This is not the time to purchase an £80,000 car on a lease or buy a fast-food franchise and open up yet another burger bar on the High Street. 

 

I’ve seen at least two or three new fast-food outlets or restaurants popping up on the High Street in the last couple of months. They are occupying premises that previous owners of similar businesses who went bust.

 

I’ve talked to some of the business owners, and they are struggling. I walk past their restaurants and see the empty tables.

 

I talk to a lady who opened up to bubble tea outlets and lost all her savings within six months. 

 

Her sign is still above the empty shop, which means the landlord has not been able to let the property again.

 

·        Manage your money and control your spending.

 

·        Invest wisely.

 

·        If you’re nearing retirement, I would check with your financial advisor as to where your pension funds are invested.

 

·        If you are young, I would learn more about AI. 

 

AI will kill 300 million jobs worldwide according to a recent report.

 

People already been laid off in the City of London and Wall Street due to the impact of AI.

 

A massive rise in employer national insurance contributions will hardly encourage employers to take on more staff. Worse still, it could lead to redundancies.

 

Could be an easier time for homebuyers, if interest rates fall and the regulators ease the stringent restrictions on mortgage lending.

 

Expect the best but prepare for the worst. 

 

Join me for my free webinar, Three. Steps to money, management and financial freedom, Wednesday 7 pm. 

 

Places are limited, so register now below to avoid disappointment.

https://bit.ly/3QPp8IH

 

See also:

7 Powerful Steps to Transform Your Finances in 2025

As we move closer to 2025, now is the perfect time to take charge of your finances and make it your most successful year yet. In the latest episode of the Charles Kelly Money Tips Podcast, we explore actionable strategies to help you achieve financial freedom and build wealth.

Watch full video - https://youtu.be/-k7HPn0u_Ok?si=j6ZpuTlRyCJzuIxY

Section 24 Landlord Tax Hike

Interview with Chartered Accountant and property tax specialist who reveals options and solutions to move your properties from your own name into a limited company or LLP whilst mitigating the potential HMRC pitfalls.

Email charles@charleskelly.net for a free consultation on how to deal with Section 24.

Watch video now: https://youtu.be/aMuGs_ek17s

Make 2025 the year you take control of your financial future. By setting clear goals, budgeting wisely, paying yourself first, reducing debt, and investing strategically, you’ll be well on your way to building wealth and achieving financial freedom. Remember, every small step you take today can lead to significant financial growth tomorrow.

For more tips and insights, watch the latest episode of the Charles Kelly Money Tips Podcast on YouTube and start your journey to financial success today!

3 Steps To Unlocking Financial Freedom!

I want to take you to the next level, help you get control of your money, learn how to invest and become financially free.

Join me online on my free live money management training Wednesday at 7.00PM.

Places are limited, so register now below to avoid disappointment.

https://bit.ly/3QPp8IH

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Monday, March 20, 2023

Banking Crisis And UK 2023 Budget Summary, What You Need To Know

Banking Crisis And UK 2023 Budget Summary, What You Need To Know

Another US bank bailed while Paris burns.

3 Steps To Success Money Management! Join me online on my free live training Wednesday at 8.00PM. Places are limited, so register now below to avoid disappointment. https://bit.ly/3QPp8IH

As expected, Jeremy Hunt’s first budget did little to excite investors and the property industry.

With the country still recovering from the events of the last two years and massive Government debt there was not much money to give away in this budget. Chancellors usually save that for a pre-election budget!

Jeremy Hunt highlighted concerns about the banking sector, following the collapse of America’s Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and a further bailout by the US banks, but reassured us that the UK banking industry is safe.

European Central Bank supervisors see no contagion for euro zone banks from recent sector turmoil, a source said on Friday, after U.S. lenders threw First Republic Bank a $30 billion lifeline and tapped record amounts from the Federal Reserve.

Large U.S. banks on Thursday were forced to rescue the San Francisco-based lender, which was caught up in market volatility triggered by the collapse of two other mid-size U.S. banks.

This week, Credit Suisse went ‘cap in hand’ to the central for an emergency bank loan of up to $54 billion to shore up its liquidity – banking terms for having no money!

The National Residential Landlords Association described it as missed opportunity to tackle the supply crisis in the private rented sector and the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) said it was disappointed by the lack of housing ambition in the budget.

However, the Chancellor did announce 12 new Investment Zones across the UK and relaxed Immigration Rules to help the construction industry cope with staff shortages.

Most of us will be paying more tax  in the coming years due to the ‘fiscal drag’ caused by tax allowances not rising in line with inflation each year.

Here’s a summary of the main points, but you can read the full budget speech at the commons library - https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9748/

Budget main points

·        Energy cap limiting typical household energy bills to £2,500 a year extended to June

·        £200m to bring energy charges for prepayment meters into line with prices for customers paying by direct debit - affects 4m households

·        Lifetime Allowance – the cap on amount workers can accumulate in pensions savings over their lifetime before having to pay extra tax (currently £1.07m) to be abolished

·        Tax-free yearly allowance for pension pot to rise from £40,000 to £60,000

·        The 5p cut to fuel duty on petrol and diesel, due to end in April, kept for another year

·        Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) predicts the UK will avoid recession in 2023, but the economy will shrink by 0.2%? Economy shrinking but not in recession!

·        Growth of 1.8% predicted for next year, with 2.5% in 2025 and 2.1% in 2026

·        UK's inflation rate predicted to fall to 2.9% by the end of this year, down from 10.7% in the last three months of 2022

·        Underlying debt forecast to be 92.4% of GDP this year, rising to 93.7% in 2024

·        Corporation tax, paid by businesses on taxable profits over £250,000, confirmed to increase from 19% to 25% making the UK a less competitive place to invest

·        Companies with profits between £50,000 and £250,000 to pay between 19% and 25%

·        Companies able to deduct investment in new machinery and technology to lower their taxable profits

·        Tax breaks and other benefits for 12 new Investment Zones across the UK, funded by £80m each over the next five years

·        £200m this year to help local councils in England repair potholes

·        £900m for new super computer facility, to help UK's AI industry

·        30 hours of free childcare for working parents in England expanded to cover one and two-year-olds, to be rolled out in stages from April 2024

·        A £600 "incentive payments" for those becoming childminders, and relaxed rules in England to let childminders look after more children

·        New fitness-to-work testing regime to qualify for health-related benefits

·        New voluntary employment scheme for disabled people in England and Wales, called Universal Support

·        Tougher requirements to look for work and increased job support for lead child carers on universal credit

·        £63m for programmes to encourage retirees over 50 back to work, "returnerships" and skills boot camps

·        Immigration rules to be relaxed for five roles in construction sector, to ease labour shortages

Source: BBC News

We are living in turbulent times. Need more help with your money, finances, or debt?

I want to show you how can you:

·        Not only survive, but thrive in a recession or depression?

·        Get control of your finances and spending?

·        Save and invest for your future?

·        Learn about money and finance?

To help you, I am running a free training webinar. 

3 Steps To Success Money Management!

I want to take you to the next level, help you get control of your money, learn how to invest and become financially free.

Join me online on my free live training Wednesday at 8.00PM.

Places are limited, so register now below to avoid disappointment.

https://bit.ly/3QPp8IH

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Saturday, February 11, 2023

Expert Insight: Gavin Rubenstein Discusses Overcoming Anxiety Through Hy...

Expert Insight: Gavin Rubenstein Discusses His Approach to Overcoming Anxiety Through Hypnotherapy and NLP

Exploring the Power of Hypnotherapy and NLP with Anxiety Expert Gavin Rubenstein

Watch video - https://youtu.be/cB9PhKZfjUk

To contact Gavin visit - www.gmrhypnotherapy.com

Learn more about getting control of your finances using my 3-Step Money Management Formula on my free training webinar.

If you’re struggling or worrying right now, I want to show you:

·        3 Steps to get control of your finances and spending and not only survive, but thrive in a recession or depression?

Join me online on my free live training Wednesday at 8.00PM.

Places are limited, so register now below to avoid disappointment. Act now and take advantage of this limited time offer.

https://bit.ly/3QPp8IH

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Friday, December 23, 2022

How To Make 2023 Your Best Year Ever!

How To Make 2023 Your Best Year Ever!

 

For more great tips and money-making ideas and coaching offers see Master Your Money the S.M.A.R.T Way training. Check it out for free - https://bit.ly/3isugCr.

As we enter the Christmas season and that break for most people between Christmas and New Year, it’s a perfect time to sit back and reflect on the year gone by.

 

·        How was 2022 for you?

·        Did you reach your goals?

·        If not, did you reach milestones?

·        Did your wealth go up or down?

·        Has your income increased?

 

It’s also a good time to think about what you can do to make 2023 your most successful year ever.

 

Watch YouTube video: https://youtu.be/MtjrNNXHM5k

 

Despite all the doom and gloom, recession and inflation, there are always opportunities.

 

Falling house prices, potential stock market crash and a shortage of labour are just three of the many opportunities there right now to increase your wealth.

 

Think about your goals, aims and ambitions for the coming year and write them down. 

 

·        How can you improve your life and happiness?

·        How can you increase your income?

·        How can you save more money?

·        How can you manage your budget?

·        How can you increase your financial knowledge to make better investment choices?

 

It’s never too late to learn how to make more money, save and invest to increase your wealth over time.

 

That’s why I’m including a link to my free training to help you manage your money the smart way.

 

Make 2023 your best year ever!

 

Remember this moment as the moment you decided to change your life forever. Make the rest of your life the best of your life

 

Charles Kelly Money Tips Podcast wishing you a Merry Christmas and a happy New Year to you and all your family.

 

See also:  

The rich and successful have coaches and mentors, and never stop learning.

For more tips and money-making ideas and coaching see Master Your Money the S.M.A.R.T Way training.  

 

#tax #property #capitalgainstax #finance #financialfreedom #freefinancialtraining #freetraining #money #wealth #landlord #buytoletlandlord #property #makingtaxdigital #richhabits #successhabits #richpeople #wealth #debt #goals #plans #interestrates


Friday, September 23, 2022

Stamp Duty cut for homebuyers as BoE raise interest rates by .5% to 2.5%...

Stamp Duty cut for homebuyers as BoE raise interest rates by 0.5% to 2.5% and say the UK “may” already by in recession

The Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng has cut Stamp Duty for 200,000 homebuyers to stimulate the property market a day after the Bank of England (BoE) has raised the UK base interest rate from 1.75% to 2.25% to combat inflation and warning that the country “may” already be in recession. A recession is officially measured by two negative growth quarters, which has not yet been recorded.

The independent BoE move follows the Federal Reserve’s 0.75% hike this week.

UK borrowing costs are now at their highest levels since 2008 putting pressure on mortgage holders and the housing market.

The new rate rise alone could add up to £690 per annum or £57 per month to an average variable rate mortgage (on top of previous rate rises), although not all lenders follow the BoE base rates.

Mortgage brokers are reporting long delays in obtaining an offer and fixed rate deals being pulled at short notice.

Inflation has dipped slightly to 9.9% but is still at a 40-year high in most western countries.

The pound fell again to $1.11, which means the markets have no confidence in the currency.

Everything the UK imports is now being inflated by a weak pound.

How high will interest rates go?

The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets in less than two week on 3 November and could be forced to raise rates again. The markets expects rates to rise to 4.5% by next year, which could push mortgage rates to over 7%, a level I have not seen for 20 years.

Now could be the time to get advice from a broker about fixing your mortgage rate for at least 3-5 years.

If you are already in a fixed rate deal and have a year or two left, you might want to consider switching to a longer-term rate even if you have to pay a small ERC – early redemption charge or penalty. Talk to a broker to weigh up the costs and benefits or do your own calculations by factoring in an interest rate of around 4.5%.

With 10% inflation and a weak pound, interest rates are on an upward trend, so take action now to protect yourself.

Buy-to-Let yields will look very different at those levels, yet investors still see property as a safe long-term haven for their cash.

Property values in most areas usually grow in the long term and inflation reduces the real value of a mortgage debt.

There is still a shortage of suitable properties and demand for bricks and mortar.

Highly geared property investors with large amounts of debt could get into trouble leading to more repossessions.

A recession could see commercial landlords coming under pressure as business suffers, which means more opportunities for some investors.

The government do not want the property market to crash and will be announcing measures to stimulate the market for fist-time buyers.

The stock market is another story and has already started to slide this year.

Rates for savers have barely moved. Some savers are turning to funding property transactions either through peer-to-peer lending platforms or direct to property investors – cutting out the banks. However, lending out your money in this way carries a far greater risk.

Stamp Duty Cut

·        Threshold raised from £125,000 to £250,000.

·        First-time buyer nil rate band lifted to £425,000.

·        200,000 people will be taken out of Stamp Duty tax altogether.

The April NI tax rise has been reversed saving employees and employers hundreds of pounds a year.

Income tax reduced to 19% from April 2023 giving back £170 to 31 million people.

Highest rate of 45% abolished.

All goo d news but more money is effectively being printed and the national debt increased or deferred, which means paper currency is being devalued.

Corporation tax rise cancelled.

Bad news for HMO Landlords

The government plans to introduce legislation to force landlords who include bills as part of the rent to “repay” the £400 rebate to the tenant!

What can you do transform your finances and become financially free?

Are you struggling with money or the cost-of-living crisis?

To help you get through this and come out stronger at the other end I have prepared a brand-new training, which you can access right now from the comfort of your home.

Claim your free Wealth Accelerator Discovery Call with me:

https://calendly.com/charleskelly/wealth-accelerator-discovery-call

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Friday, April 29, 2022

US economy declines for first time since 2020 as UK business failures hi...

US economy declines for first time since 2020 as UK business failures hit 60-year high

 

The world’s largest economy contracted by an annualised rate of 1.4% in the first three months of this year. The sharp drop follows growth of over 6% in the final quarter of 2021.

 

America is experiencing the highest inflation for 40 years, reduced government spending and supply chain disruption from lockdowns energy in China.

 

Despite this, analysts are not predicting a full-blown recession. 

 

Watch video version

 

Business insolvencies in England and Wales jump to 60 year high.

 

Rapid increase in voluntary liquidation is driven by inflation and supply chain difficulties. Rising costs for necessities such as oils and home energy are sucking cash out of consumer pockets, which means less money to spend on eating out and small luxuries.

 

World Bank warns of human food catastrophe and war causes shortages and soaring prices.

 

Food prices are now at the highest rate since UN Food Index tracking records began 60 years ago after jumping 13% in March.

 

Food commodity prices were already at a 10 year high before the war in Ukraine.

 

Even in a wealthy country like the UK, the numbers of people using food banks is rising sharply according to anecdotal evidence.

 

The office for National statistics reported that nearly one in five people are now borrowing more than they did a year ago and 43% say they will not be able to save money in the next 12 months.

 

This means higher personal debts and lower savings for millions of people.

 

UK inflation is now running at 7% per annum, up from less than 1% in February 2020.

 

What does inflation mean to you?

 

The costs of goods and services has risen by 49.4% since 2010, which means you need £14,936 to have the same buying power as £10,000 in 2010.

 

Your £10,000 in 2010 would needed to have grown by 3.4% per year just to keep pace with inflation, according to figures based on the Retail Prices Index (RPI). Source: Hargreaves Lansdown.

 

If your money was on deposit in the bank over this period the chances are your money has not kept pace with inflation and will only buy you half the amount you could have bought in 2010.

 

If you have invested your money in a well performing managed fund or in a decent property your money will most like have kept pace or outstripped inflation giving you a real rate of return.

 

Stock Markets jittery

 

Stock markets in Europe and Asia fell sharply this week at n fears of Chinese lockdowns but later recovered.

 

Strict lockdowns in China are affecting millions of people, which is slowing down manufacturing of goods needed by western economies.  

 

House prices still rising in the UK

 

A shortage of family homes continues to drive up demand despite recent interest rate rises.

 

3 quick tips to GET CONTROL of your finances in times of rising prices.

 

1. Get control of your outgoings and expenditure.

 

Knowing what money is coming in and where it’s going to keys to get in control of your finances. In my S.M.A.R.T Money training I show you how to immediately get control of your finances.

 

2. Get control of debt.

 

Mental health and finances are closely linked according to the Mental Health Policy Institute.

Pay down the debts with the highest interest rate.

Never ignore debts and I was asked for help or advice. In the UK there are organisations offering free advice, like Citizens Advice, the National Debt Line and the Samaritans.

 

3. Get control of spending.

 

Make small cuts in many different areas.

Rather than try to cut out one big item, tried to make savings in multiple areas. 

Earn more than you spend

Look for opportunities to earn more money. For instance, a part-time job or a side-line business.


Also check out my ‘5 Inflation-Busting Tips’  for money saving ideas to help you through this. -https://youtu.be/2jZCO4V7uX0

Make the most of your money and resources and learn how to get control and manage your finances.

Consider investing in real assets which tend to hold their value and act as a hedge during times of high inflation.

Assets like property, stock and shares and gold have long been held as a long-term inflation hedge.

Remember, you are not alone. Get help, take advice, and use debt counselling services like Citizens Advice if you are having trouble.

Can you take proactive steps to increase your wealth?

Do people get rich during recessions and depressions?

The answer is yes!

To help you get through this and come out stronger at the other end I am offering subscribers a free MONEY MASTERCLASS.

Join me for an intimate Money Masterclass this Wednesday

The NEW WAY to build your wealth, IMMEDIATELY GET CONTROL of your money and learn how you can become FINANCIALLY FREE in 28 days using my S.M.A.R.T MONEY FORMULA!

With inflation at a 30-year high there has never been a better time to join me for this brand new Money Masterclass!

I am inviting a small group of people only to join me this WEDNESDAY 7PM for an intimate S.M.A.R.T Money Masterclass!

>>> REGISTER HERE - https://contexttraining.aweb.page/p/101d6194-4fe4-4036-8cc8-615ecc35f857


Secure your seat now!

Thursday, February 24, 2022

Markets Crashing Around The World As Russia Invades Ukraine

Markets Crashing Around The World As Russia Invades Ukraine

Billions are being wiped of the value of stock markets all over the world today on the news that President Putin has sent his army into Ukraine.

The prices are flashing red and moving down. On Thursday, the FTSE lost over 3% or 300 points and the Dow Jones was down nearly 700 points by 2%.

The FTSE is down 10% since January. The US S&P and Nasdaq indices are also down over 10% from recent highs, which is entering into correction territory.

Oil topped $100 a barrel and gas prices jumped again threatening to send western economies further into recession. Consumers will be hit with higher petrol, gas and food prices as sanctions are imposed on Russia.

Will property follow stock market falls?

Property prices in the US could have peaked after a 20% spike last year as higher mortgage rates (anticipating a rate increase by the Fed) are already hitting buyers and refinance applicants.

UK average asking prices in February were up by a record £7,785 compared to last month.

Demand is being driven by ‘second steppers’ in search of more space sending prices nearly £40,000 higher than since the start of the pandemic.

The price of property coming to market rose 2.3% in February, or £7,785, according to Rightmove’s latest House Price Index.

Whilst the UK market is still buoyant, the two recent interest rate hikes to .5% will make it more expensive to buy and remortgage property.

End of tax year tax saving hints.

With the end of the fiscal year looming on 5 April, now is the time to start tax planning your ISA and pension contributions.

You can put up to £20,000 into a tax-free ISA each fiscal year, as well as maximising your pension contributions.

If you are in the UK and earn less than £18,570 a year from income and savings interest, your savings interest is tax-free due to tax-free savings and the starting savings rate.

There are other more specialist tax saving investment schemes, such as Enterprise Investment Scheme (EIS) and Venture Capital Trusts (VCTs). Talk to an independent final adviser.

Get control of your finances in 2022.

We know exactly what the millionaire and billionaire habits and traits are, as success leaves tracks. All you need to do is follow their tracks to become wealthy and financially free!

If you would like to learn more about investing and managing your money, become a professional property investor, or would like to be financially free without working any harder, watch this free on demand training.

I will give a special free gift which can help you to immediately transform your finances when you attend the online training.

Click on this link to watch the free training now https://bit.ly/3wLWqx2.

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Friday, February 18, 2022

8 tips to survive the coming recession

8 tips to survive the coming recession

 

What can you do to prepare for the coming recession?

 

Signs of a downturn include:

 

·        Household electricity and gas bills are doubling.

 

·        Cost of petrol at the pumps highest it’s ever been.

 

·        Raw materials up by over 30%, cost of shipping is up 10 times.

 

·        The UK official inflation rate is now the highest it’s been for 30 years.

 

·        Food and essential household item inflation is running at 20 to 30%.

 

·        Farm prices, fertiliser and seed are all soaring, with fertiliser up to hundred percent on last year due to the rising price of natural gas used in the production of nitrogen-based fertilisers.

 

·        Food inflation is rampant and unlikely to slow this year making life much harder for ordinary families.

 

·        Families will spend more on household essentials, such as fuel and petrol, sucking money out of the wider economy which will affect company earning.

 

·        A stock market correction or crash would reduce investment, increase unemployment and loss of billions in people’s savings.

 

·        A property crash could lead to substantial losses, mass repossessions and a squeeze on lending.

 

Watch video version.

 

In a previous podcast last year, I advised followers to “invest” in non-perishable foods and household goods, as prices were likely to rise faster than most other investments you could put your money into.

 

US national debt now exceeds $30 trillion or 128% of GDP. In 1980 the US National debt was just 34% of GDP and in 2000 59% of GDP. UK national debt is over £2 trillion.

 

Greedy banks are failing to pass on interest rate rises to savers despite two recent hikes by almost .5%.

 

8 tips to survive the coming recession

 

1.      Make a spreadsheet of all your income and outgoings. I cover this in my books and many of my podcasts. This is vital if you are going to get control of your finances and a must during a downturn when your income will be squeezed.

 

2.      Tighten your belt. Cut out all unnecessary expenditure and check those standing orders and direct debit‘s to get rid of memberships and services you no longer require or use. Unfortunately, this has a knock on effect on businesses and almost becomes a self filling prophecy driving the world further into recession.

 

3.      Reduce credit card balance or pay off if possible. With credit card interest running anywhere between 18 and 40%, it makes no sense to have money in the bank earning less than 1%. You should still have a cash reserve but if you can pay off cards or switch them to lower interest or interest free deals then by all means do so as this will save you a fortune in interest payments.

 

4.      Build up a cash reserve of 6 to 12 months of outgoings. This is essential during a downturn when the job may not be safe. Everyone should have cash reserves equivalent to 6 to 12 months of household expenditure. In reality, 90% of people have no savings and are only a couple of salary payments away from bankruptcy and homelessness.

 

5.      Take a part-time job to earn extra money or change jobs. With inflation running at record rates, your income, even with pay rises, will not be keeping pace with rising costs. You may need to consider finding ways of earning extra money through a part-time job or home-based business.

 

6.      Review your investments. Review your investments to ensure that you are not exposed to a stock market downturn or crash. This includes your pension funds and any savings ISAs or mutual funds. Seek independent financial advice. Fund managers and advisers will often advise you to stay in the market even if it’s going down.

 

7.      Review your mortgage, insurance loans and suppliers. Reviewing your loans and suppliers can save your fortune and is even more important during the recession. Loyalty does not pay. I have saved thousands of pounds by switching mortgages, utility suppliers and insurance contracts.

 

8.      Finally, stay positive and plan to come out of this recession even stronger. During a recession, many people give up and say things like, there’s no point in working because nobody’s got any money. Make sure you are working harder than the competition.

 

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Thursday, January 27, 2022

US Economy Bounces Back And Stock Markets Rally, But Crash Is Coming

US Economy Bounces Back And Stock Markets Rally, But Crash Is Coming 

The US economy expanded at its fastest rate in decades last year as it bounced back from lockdowns.

Official figures from the Commerce Department revealed that the economy grew by 5.7% and by 6.9% in the last quarter – the highest growth since 1984.

However, the US Federal Reserve announced this week that a rate rise is 'appropriate' soon, while analysts expect growth to slow this year, due to government scaling back stimulus spending.

Rising inflation, new Covid variants, such as Omicron are further threats to the economy.

The World Bank forecasts that the US economy will grow by 3.7% this year, while OECD said the UK’s GDP will grow by 4.7% in 2022 and is almost back to pre-pandemic levels.

Major stock markets have been sliding in January, with the Nasdaq down 13.35% and Dow Jones 5.06% in the last month but have so far resisted a correction or full-blown crash.

Billionaires like Elon Musk have been dumping billions of dollars of their own stock, a sure sign that they know the party is over.

We are living in volatile times. shares are overpriced, central banks have printed money like there’s no tomorrow, inflation is reaching levels not seen since the 1980’s, Russia could be about to invade Ukraine and China is watching the west while it eyes Taiwan.  

Seek independent advice on what to do with your own portfolio or pension cash.

What is your personal inflation rate?

The UK official inflation rate is 5.4%, but essential items such as fuel, food and household items are up by as much as 50%.

This means for a family on low income the impact is worse because they spend a higher proportion of their income on food and other essentials.

Official inflation figures include luxuries together with items like caravans, flower vases, leggings, and cycle helmets, which most people do not buy on a regular basis.   

Supermarkets have also reduced the number of value items they sell, as well as special offers like two-for-one deals.   

Shoppers are flocking to discount stores like Lidl and Aldi, which are both expanding fast.  

Pensioners are also suffering because the pensions are rising by less than the real cost of living increases.   

New immigration identity checking system for landlords and employers.

UK net migration will account for all the population growth of the UK in the future as the number of the people living in the country swells to 70 million by 2030 official figures reveal.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) projections indicate that the population will rise by 2.1 million by the end of the decade from the 2020 count.

Increased immigration will raise the UK population to 69.1 million by mid-2030, resulting from of a net inflow of 2.2 million migrants, 6.6 million births and 6.7 million deaths.

The Home Office seems powerless to deal with hundreds of migrants entering the country illegally crossing the channel on ever larger boats supplied by criminal gangs, but are cracking down on employers and landlords.

The Home Office has recently announced a new digital ID checking tool for landlords and employers to help prevent abuse of the UK immigration system.

A press release published on the UK government’s official website, the technology will ‘make it quicker, safer and more convenient for landlords and employers to carry out right to rent and work checks. 

The checking system will start on 6 April 2022 and certified identity service providers (IDSPs) will be able to use Identification Document Validation Technology (IDVT) to carry out right to work checks and right to rent checks on behalf of UK and Irish citizens. Source: Work Permit.com

Frugality is good for your health

Spending wisely cannot only improve your bank balance but also your health.  

That’s because poor spending habits are often linked to unhealthy pursuits, such as smoking, drinking and gambling.

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Friday, December 31, 2021

Property And Share Prices At Record Levels Despite Poor Economic Outlook...

Property And Share Prices At Record Levels Despite Poor Economic Outlook As 2021 Draws To A Close

Nationwide and the Halifax have predicted the market would slow next year because the stamp duty holiday, which ended in September, forced buyers to bring purchases forward.

Nationwide also said the slowdown could be made worse by the spread of Omicron.

Interest rate factor

Nationwide's chief economist Robert Gardner said that even if the economy remains strong in spite the virus, higher interest rates were likely have a "cooling influence" on the housing market.

"House price growth has outpaced income growth by a significant margin over the past 18 months and, as a result, housing affordability is already less favourable than before the pandemic struck," Mr Gardner added.

The lender could be anticipating further increases to interest rates in the new year. Earlier this month, the Bank of England hiked base interest rates to 0.25% from their historic lows of 0.1% in a bid to curb the threat of rising inflation.

The US is expected to raise rates three times next year to tackle the highest price rises in nearly 40 years.

But the central banks cannot raise rates too high as this will mean higher payments on the trillions in debt they owe to lenders.

Increases in the cost of borrowing will be bad news for people trying to get on the property ladder and could herald the end of the decade long property and stock market boom.

Wales saw the highest growth with prices increasing 15.8% compared to the same time last year. Meanwhile, price increases in London slowed compared to last year, climbing just 4.2%.

In an interview with BBC's Today programme, Andrew Harvey, a senior economist at Nationwide, said the pandemic had caused a change in the behaviour of buyers who had been looking to leave large cities in favour or suburban and rural areas.

"I think London probably has suffered as a result of that," he said.

Average prices change across the UK

·        Wales: Up 15.8% to £196,759

·        Northern Ireland: Up 12.1% to £167,479

·        South West: Up 11.5% to £294,845

·        Outer South East: Up 11.3% to £329,869

·        North West: Up 11.2% to £196,806

·        Yorkshire and Humberside: Up 10.8% to £190,855

·        East Anglia: Up 10.4% to £268,146

·        East Midlands: Up 10.4% to £221,813

·        Scotland: Up 10.1% to £172,605

·        West Midlands: Up 9.4% to £227,031

·        Outer metropolitan area of London: Up 8.8% to £410,992

·        North: Up 7.7% to £148,105

·        London: Up 4.2% to £507,230

Source: BBC.

Mr Gardner said it was the first time since 1973, when Nationwide began publishing house price data, that the largest price rises had been seen in Wales.

"Price growth remained elevated in Northern Ireland at 12.1%, the strongest end to the year for the region since 2007," he said.

"Annual house price growth in Scotland was 10.1%, in line with the wider UK."

The year has been dominated by Covid lockdowns and restrictions which saw international flights to the UK slump by 71%, retail giants such as Debenhams go bust and thousands of small businesses and hospitality firms suffer losses.

Other businesses prospered during the last two years. Not just the likes of Amazon, but any business that adapted to the new world of online transactions and Zoom!

I want to thank all my viewers, listeners and readers for all your support this year, and wish you all a prosperous New Year.

See also:

How will you prosper in 2022? – Make 2022 your best year ever!

SPECIAL APPEAL

We have witnessed major climate disasters, such as the recent typhoon which has destroyed 90% of homes in the southern islands of the Philippines. While we in the west worry and fret over a shortage of some of our favourite food supplies, millions of people around the world are starving.

You can donate to my Rotary Fundraiser – to provide food, clean water and shelter to the people who have lost their homes and will not be enjoying a merry Christmas. https://www.facebook.com/groups/174851346196950/permalink/1621462918202445/

Money also migrated so-called safe property havens in the UK, Canada, US and Australia.

Wealthy people have sought second and third passports and residency in countries offering citizenship for cash or property investment.

Financial education in investing is the key to building and keeping wealth. Never stop learning!

Keep watching or listening to my free podcasts on iTunes and subscribe to my YouTube channel for regular financial news and updates.

Can you get rich by saving alone?

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