Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts

Saturday, January 18, 2025

UK Economy Is Flatlining


UK Economy Is Flatlining

 

Like a patient on the operating table with no pulse, the UK economy is barely growing. Prime Minister, Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves are desperately banging on the chest of the patient trying to revive it, but they don’t know how to bring it back to life.  

 

December figures show that the economy barely grew by just 0.1%.

 

They talk of growth, but where is it going to come from?

 

China’s economy grew by 5% last year.  

 

Retail sales were down in December! I’ve never heard of retail sales falling over Christmas. 

 

More inflation is expected as UK borrowing costs and bond yields have risen sharply.

 

The country’s additional borrowing costs will run to £12 billion per annum.  Paid by us, taxpayers of course.  Governments screw up, we foot the bill.

 

This could mean higher interest rates and higher mortgage costs for all of us at a time, and the Bank of England should be cutting rates.

 

The market has lost confidence in the UK chancellor Rachel Reeves. She is out of her depth and reminds me the person that talks a good game and job interview but in reality hasn’t got a clue when they’ve got the job.

 

Labour have got off to the worst start and any government I’ve never known.

 

They want to give away the Chagos islands to Mauritius, and then lease it back at a cost of £9 billion!

 

I’ve heard of sale and leaseback, but not “give” and leaseback. 

 

This will surely be remembered as the Prime Minister’s “Gordon Brown” moment. Gordon Brown was the Labour chancellor who sold off the U.K.’s gold reserves to China at rock bottom prices. Gold has risen by at least 10 times since the ill-fated sell-off.

 

They inexplicably cut the small winter fuel allowance for millions of pensioners, taxed private school fees, and raised national insurance costs for employers, taxed our farmers and borrowed an additional £145 billion, all of which have made them hugely unpopular. 

 

And yet, the FT 100 index, reached a record level today! Apparently they expect interest rates to be cut by 0.25% when the Bank of England meet next month

 

Will the Bank of England hold or cut rates next month?

 

The implications are huge for the country and for the 700,000 borrowers who will come off fixed interest rates this year, as well as the first-time buyers who want to go on the property ladder.  

 

Buy to let property investment has become almost unviable, unless you have a large deposit or buying cheap properties up in the north-east. 

 

Some good news could be on the horizon for first time buyers as regulators are expected to relax lending rules. However, could this lead to another boom and bust?

 

The massive building firm Taylor Wimpey has reported good profits of over £400 million last year and they built almost 10,000 new homes. Perhaps labours plan to relax planning rules will bring more homes onto the housing market. 

 

China

 

What is going on between Labour and China?

 

Why did Rachel Reeves desert her post at the time of the bond crisis last week?  

 

What are they given away for China to buy UK bonds? The Chinese government does not give anything without expecting something in return, and they normally bargain very hard. 

 

Foreign Secretary, David Lammy is expected to approve a new super embassy for China on the site of the old Royal Mint. 

 

Why does any country need a super embassy with hundreds of “diplomats”?

 

Donald Trump could turn the US economy around, but will we get a decent trade deal after labour have alienating themselves from the new president elect?

 

David Lammy, with his personal attacks, labour sending 100 people to America to canvas for Joe Biden during the US elections and now rushing to sign a deal with Mauritius before the presidential inauguration on January 20. 

 

Now it appears Labour are getting closer to China.  

 

The previous government cooled relations with China over Chinese technology, tensions over Hong Kong and Taiwan, the South China Sea, cyber security and allegations of spying.

 

In summary, the lunatics have taken over the asylum!

 

What does this mean for you?

 

What can we do to cope on a personal level?

 

If you believe we are entering choppy waters and stormy weather, now is the time to batten down the hatches and tighten your belts. 

 

This is not the time to purchase an £80,000 car on a lease or buy a fast-food franchise and open up yet another burger bar on the High Street. 

 

I’ve seen at least two or three new fast-food outlets or restaurants popping up on the High Street in the last couple of months. They are occupying premises that previous owners of similar businesses who went bust.

 

I’ve talked to some of the business owners, and they are struggling. I walk past their restaurants and see the empty tables.

 

I talk to a lady who opened up to bubble tea outlets and lost all her savings within six months. 

 

Her sign is still above the empty shop, which means the landlord has not been able to let the property again.

 

·        Manage your money and control your spending.

 

·        Invest wisely.

 

·        If you’re nearing retirement, I would check with your financial advisor as to where your pension funds are invested.

 

·        If you are young, I would learn more about AI. 

 

AI will kill 300 million jobs worldwide according to a recent report.

 

People already been laid off in the City of London and Wall Street due to the impact of AI.

 

A massive rise in employer national insurance contributions will hardly encourage employers to take on more staff. Worse still, it could lead to redundancies.

 

Could be an easier time for homebuyers, if interest rates fall and the regulators ease the stringent restrictions on mortgage lending.

 

Expect the best but prepare for the worst. 

 

Join me for my free webinar, Three. Steps to money, management and financial freedom, Wednesday 7 pm. 

 

Places are limited, so register now below to avoid disappointment.

https://bit.ly/3QPp8IH

 

See also:

7 Powerful Steps to Transform Your Finances in 2025

As we move closer to 2025, now is the perfect time to take charge of your finances and make it your most successful year yet. In the latest episode of the Charles Kelly Money Tips Podcast, we explore actionable strategies to help you achieve financial freedom and build wealth.

Watch full video - https://youtu.be/-k7HPn0u_Ok?si=j6ZpuTlRyCJzuIxY

Section 24 Landlord Tax Hike

Interview with Chartered Accountant and property tax specialist who reveals options and solutions to move your properties from your own name into a limited company or LLP whilst mitigating the potential HMRC pitfalls.

Email charles@charleskelly.net for a free consultation on how to deal with Section 24.

Watch video now: https://youtu.be/aMuGs_ek17s

Make 2025 the year you take control of your financial future. By setting clear goals, budgeting wisely, paying yourself first, reducing debt, and investing strategically, you’ll be well on your way to building wealth and achieving financial freedom. Remember, every small step you take today can lead to significant financial growth tomorrow.

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Thursday, February 15, 2024

UK In Recession As Economy Shrinks Again


UK In Recession As Economy Shrinks Again

The UK is officially in recession after negative growth of -0.3% in the last two quarters of 2023.

The economy barely grew last year by 0.1% following inflation, cost of living crisis and high interest rates.

Inflation remained at 4% this month prompting hopes of a cut in interest rates in March or April.

The government borrowed £7.8 billion in December and the national debt stands at £2.7 trillion and 97% of GDP.

UK house prices rose in January according to the Halifax, but ONS figures a small fall in England.

Watch video version - https://youtu.be/baA4SoLPaLk

Financial Education

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Together, let's strive towards closing the gender pension gap and creating a more equitable financial landscape for all.

Join me online on my free live money training Wednesday at 8.00PM. Register now below to book your seat and get regular money updates through my free newsletter. https://bit.ly/3QPp8IH

What can you do to manage your money and become financially free?

Watch video - https://youtu.be/XDkF9LSpQgk

Buy-to-Let Alternative To Pension Plans

Buy-to-Let investors pension plans devasted by George Osborne’s Section 24 landlord tax hike.

See: – Transfer Property Into A Limited Company Without Paying CGT or Stamp Duty t offset Sec 24. https://youtu.be/mtGq7WaVxLA

Where to find me:

Money Tips website: https://moneytipsdaily.com/

YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC2tLUxod264Qy0gPntvx6Eg

Money Tips Facebook Community: https://www.facebook.com/groups/No1businessopportunities

LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/charles-kelly-ba-cmgr-fcmi-b5300a2

For a free gold, investment report, and Discovery Call, click here (https://pure-gold.co/charles-kelly)

 

Join me online on my free live money management training Wednesday at 8.00PM.

Places are limited, so register now below to book your seat and get regular money updates through my free newsletter.

https://bit.ly/3QPp8IH

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Thursday, April 21, 2022

Food Shortages on the way – time to act!

Food Shortages on the way – time to act!

Food shortages and even rationing could be on the way as the Russia Ukraine war continues.

Sanctions against Russia are forcing up the price of everything from oil and gas to wheat and Fertiliser chemicals. This is adding to existing problems of inflation caused by ‘government money creation’, soaring shipping costs and supply chain issues in China.

Farmers are warning of coming food shortages, as items like cooking oil disappear from supermarket shelves.

“Over 36 countries depend on Russia or Ukraine for half their wheat imports”

Antonio Guterres, UN Secretary General

The UN Secretary General warned of rising poverty and added:

·        Wheat up 30%

·        Oil up 60%

·        Natural Gas up 50%

·        Fertiliser up 100%

The National Farmers Union (NFU) reports:

“Ukraine is a major supplier of wheat, barley, maize and oilseeds (particularly sunflower oil and meal) to the global market meeting the needs of an estimated 400 million people worldwide. The interruption of that supply with the closure of the Black Sea ports is being hardest felt in North African and the Middle East countries most reliant on Ukrainian wheat.

“The World Food Programme estimates that its operational costs of feeding food insecure people will increase by €26 million per month compared to current levels, €64 million per month compared to pre-pandemic levels.”

The NFU warns of “an acceleration in the rise of commodity prices”.

“Global commodity prices were already rising steeply as the world economy emerged from the pandemic – over the last 18 months wheat prices have risen nearly 110%, maize and vegetable oil prices are up 140%, and soybean prices are up 90%. The conflict in Ukraine has accelerated the rise in commodity prices, with wheat prices increasing 70% since the invasion.” Source: NFU

Signs of poverty are already being seen in the UK, a wealthy country.

$50 billion was wiped off the value of Netflix as its share price dropped 35% following reports that the company lost 200,000 subscribers in the first quarter of 2022.

Economy is in winter season right now but…winters don’t last forever!

·        Bulk buy non-perishable consumer goods and food as a hedge against inflation

·        Buckle down, tighten your belts and get through this, you will survive!

·        Consider spreading the cost on direct debit to cushion the blow.

·        Build your credit lines and watch your credit rating like a hawk.

·        Earn more cash by doing part-time jobs or a side-line business.

Watch my ‘5 Inflation-Busting Tips  for money saving ideas to help you through this. -https://youtu.be/2jZCO4V7uX0

Make the most of your money and resources and learn how to get control and manage your finances.

Consider investing in real assets which tend to hold their value and act as a hedge during times of high inflation.

Assets like property, stock and shares and gold have long been held as a long-term inflation hedge.

Remember, you are not alone. Get help, take advice, and use debt counselling services like Citizens Advice if you are having trouble.

Can you take proactive steps to increase your wealth?

Do people get rich during recessions and depressions?

The answer is yes!

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Thursday, January 27, 2022

US Economy Bounces Back And Stock Markets Rally, But Crash Is Coming

US Economy Bounces Back And Stock Markets Rally, But Crash Is Coming 

The US economy expanded at its fastest rate in decades last year as it bounced back from lockdowns.

Official figures from the Commerce Department revealed that the economy grew by 5.7% and by 6.9% in the last quarter – the highest growth since 1984.

However, the US Federal Reserve announced this week that a rate rise is 'appropriate' soon, while analysts expect growth to slow this year, due to government scaling back stimulus spending.

Rising inflation, new Covid variants, such as Omicron are further threats to the economy.

The World Bank forecasts that the US economy will grow by 3.7% this year, while OECD said the UK’s GDP will grow by 4.7% in 2022 and is almost back to pre-pandemic levels.

Major stock markets have been sliding in January, with the Nasdaq down 13.35% and Dow Jones 5.06% in the last month but have so far resisted a correction or full-blown crash.

Billionaires like Elon Musk have been dumping billions of dollars of their own stock, a sure sign that they know the party is over.

We are living in volatile times. shares are overpriced, central banks have printed money like there’s no tomorrow, inflation is reaching levels not seen since the 1980’s, Russia could be about to invade Ukraine and China is watching the west while it eyes Taiwan.  

Seek independent advice on what to do with your own portfolio or pension cash.

What is your personal inflation rate?

The UK official inflation rate is 5.4%, but essential items such as fuel, food and household items are up by as much as 50%.

This means for a family on low income the impact is worse because they spend a higher proportion of their income on food and other essentials.

Official inflation figures include luxuries together with items like caravans, flower vases, leggings, and cycle helmets, which most people do not buy on a regular basis.   

Supermarkets have also reduced the number of value items they sell, as well as special offers like two-for-one deals.   

Shoppers are flocking to discount stores like Lidl and Aldi, which are both expanding fast.  

Pensioners are also suffering because the pensions are rising by less than the real cost of living increases.   

New immigration identity checking system for landlords and employers.

UK net migration will account for all the population growth of the UK in the future as the number of the people living in the country swells to 70 million by 2030 official figures reveal.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) projections indicate that the population will rise by 2.1 million by the end of the decade from the 2020 count.

Increased immigration will raise the UK population to 69.1 million by mid-2030, resulting from of a net inflow of 2.2 million migrants, 6.6 million births and 6.7 million deaths.

The Home Office seems powerless to deal with hundreds of migrants entering the country illegally crossing the channel on ever larger boats supplied by criminal gangs, but are cracking down on employers and landlords.

The Home Office has recently announced a new digital ID checking tool for landlords and employers to help prevent abuse of the UK immigration system.

A press release published on the UK government’s official website, the technology will ‘make it quicker, safer and more convenient for landlords and employers to carry out right to rent and work checks. 

The checking system will start on 6 April 2022 and certified identity service providers (IDSPs) will be able to use Identification Document Validation Technology (IDVT) to carry out right to work checks and right to rent checks on behalf of UK and Irish citizens. Source: Work Permit.com

Frugality is good for your health

Spending wisely cannot only improve your bank balance but also your health.  

That’s because poor spending habits are often linked to unhealthy pursuits, such as smoking, drinking and gambling.

Get control of your finances in 2022.

We know exactly what the millionaire and billionaire habits and traits are, as success leaves tracks. All you need to do is follow their tracks to become wealthy and financially free!

If you would like to learn more about investing and managing your money, become a professional property investor, or would like to be financially free without working any harder, watch this free on demand training.

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Friday, December 24, 2021

What Will 2022 Hold For You And How Can You Make Your Dreams Come True?

How will you prosper in 2022?

What does 2022 have in store for you?

Some of you may not know, many will say that it depends on the economy, the government, Joe Biden or Boris Johnson.

The answer has less to do with the economy and more to do with your own economy, or what I call your U’conomy. Ask yourself these questions:

·        What’s your plan?

·        Have you written down your goals, dreams and plans?

·        What action steps are you taking to make them happen?

·        Where do you want to be in 1, 5 or 10 years?

The twenty first year of the twenty first century has been a year of firsts.

First time so much money has been created out of thin air.

First time a new medicine has been mandated on this scale.

First time a country’s citizens have been threatened with fines or imprisonment for not taking an injection.

First time governments and organisations like the UN and the WHO have acted in unison to control millions of people arounds the world.

First time people and economies have been locked down for a variant of a virus proved by South African scientists to be no worse than a bad cold or does of flu.

In the UK a few days before Christmas, the country was ‘spared’ a lockdown and yet another damaging closure of the hospitality industry. At the same time, Scotland and Wales are imposing post-Christmas restrictions, ruining New Year’s Eve trade, businesses in England are left in limbo unable to plan for the busy week ahead.

Despite the UK being in the biggest recession in 300 years and running up largest national debt ever, property and stock markets have gone up! They have been artificially pumped by quantitative easing - creating money out of thin air – and historically low interest rates providing trillions of dollars of cheap money.

When will the party end?

My estimate is that 2022 will be the year when stock markets crash, and the chickens of massive debt come home to roost.

The trigger could be when the Fed finally raises interest rates to curb the fastest inflation rise in almost 40 years. The FT reports that Fed officials expect three interest rate rises next year.  

Inflation is rising around the world fuelled by ‘money printing’ by central banks on a scale never seen in modern history. The official US inflation is now 6.8%, the highest for over a decade, but half the rate suggested by Shadow Stats which claims real costs are rising by 15%.

Energy costs are set to double for millions of people which will increase the price of all goods and services, as costs increase for businesses and suppliers.

Property and share prices have continued to boom in 2021 leaving many investors thinking that prices will carry on going up indefinitely, something which has never happened before, especially when the fundamentals suggest that there should have been a crash years ago.

The Halifax recently reported that property price growth will slow in 2022. I have never heard a lender or leading estate agent predict that property prices will fall!

This year also saw millions of migrants and refugees on the move looking for a better life. From Bangladesh to South America and Europe migrants have walked or been trafficked across borders to claim asylum.

We have also seen climate disasters, such as the recent typhoon which has destroyed 90% of homes in the southern islands of the Philippines. While we in the west worry and fret over a shortage of turkey, millions of people around the world are starving.

Please donate to my Rotary Fundraiser – to provide food, clean water and shelter to the people who have lost their homes and will not be enjoying a merry Christmas. https://www.facebook.com/groups/174851346196950/permalink/1621462918202445/

Money also migrated so-called safe property havens in the UK, Canada, US and Australia.

Wealthy people have sought second and third passports and residency in countries offering citizenship for cash or property investment.

Financial education in investing is the key to building and keeping wealth. Never stop learning!

Keep watching or listening to my free podcasts on iTunes and subscribe to my YouTube channel for regular financial news and updates.

Can you get rich by saving alone?

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Monday, August 16, 2021

UK Economy Bouncing Back

UK Economy Bouncing Back As Job Opportunities Rise

The UK economy grew by 4.8% between April and June, according to official figures, as most businesses emerged from lockdown.

Data from the Office for National Statistics showed that the expansion in gross domestic product (GDP) was fuelled by retail, restaurants and hotels.

Education also boosted the economy as schools reopened in the second quarter.

However, the figure was slightly below the 5% the Bank of England expected.

The UK economy is now 4.4% smaller than it was before the pandemic.

Growth in the second quarter contrasts with the first three months of the year, when the economy shrank by 1.6% while Covid restrictions were still in place. Source BBC and ONS.

Advertised job vacancies also rose particularly in the building industry. However, unemployment could rise next month when the furlough job retention scheme ends.

If you would like to learn more about investing and managing your money, become a professional property investor, or would like to be financially free without working any harder, watch this free on demand training.

I will give a special free gift which can help you to immediately transform your finances when you attend the online training.

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Friday, November 6, 2020

England in second lockdown as Rishi Sunak extends the Job Furlough schem...

As most of the UK goes into the second lockdown this year, Chancellor Rishi Sunak has changed direction by extending the furlough scheme until the end of March and promising more generous help for self-employed people.

Barely a week ago the Chancellor announced £22 billion package of aid for businesses affected by Covid restrictions, but infection rates have continued to climb forcing the government to adopt a new approach.

Support through the Self-Employment Income Support Scheme (SEISS) will be increased, with the third grant covering November to January calculated at 80% of average trading profits, up to a maximum of £7,500.

However, millions of small business owners are slipping through the net and will not qualify for any help.

Stock markets went up and house prices have hit new highs following the bad news during the worst economic crisis since the second world war!

More articles and money news available at Money Tips Podcast - www.moneytipsdaily.com

·        Job Furlough Scheme extended

·        UK state pension age rises to 66

·        How a crash will affect your pension plan

·        House prices rise will reach all time high

·        Why live in expensive town centres anymore?

·        Thousands trapped in unsellable leasehold flats

·        Government extends ban on landlords evicting tenants

·        Self-employed, have you claimed your government grant?

·        Why UK Property prices rising after stamp duty cut, despite the downturn?

·        New planning rules will open up more opportunities to make money in property

·        You can create a second income during the lockdown…and come out stronger

·        Learn how to make money from property without deposits, mortgages or cash

Millions of people face a bleak future post-Coronavirus lockdown, as businesses disappear and the job furlough scheme eventually comes to an end. However, life doesn’t have to end because of lockdown! You can join thousands of ordinary people who have increased their income and added streams of new income during this period.

Are you ready to adapt to the new economic model?

As lockdown restrictions around the world are being eased, the economic model has subtly changed forever. How will you adapt to this new way of working and running a business, what obstacles and opportunities lies ahead? Will you be a participant or spectator in this revolution?

By Charles Kelly, Wealth Mentor, Property Investor, Author of Yes, Money Can Buy You Happiness and creator of Money Tips Podcast.

There are more examples and practical steps to getting rich and being happy in my book, Yes, money can buy happiness, I cover the 3 R’s of Money Management, the Money B.E.L.I.E.F System and much more. Check it out on Amazon http://bit.ly/2MoneyBook.

If you’d like further information on wealth mentoring and coaching, how to survive the crisis and even quit the rat race, email me at Charles@CharlesKelly.net or send me a message through Facebook or my Money Tips Daily community. See more articles at www.moneytipsdaily.com

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