Higher interest rates will KILL buy-to-let property
market
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Example of buying a £500,000 property with a £20,000 a year
rent or 4% yield. That’s all very well but if you are then borrowing money on
say an 80% mortgage, in the past your mortgage payments based on a 2% interest
rate would be £8000 a year leaving you a gross profit before cost of £12,000
per annum.
Then interest rates went up to 4% meaning that your mortgage
payments rose to £16,000 per annum.
At 5% your mortgage payments will be £20,000, in which case
you would not even break even after paying costs such as insurance and letting
agency fees.
At 6% per annum your mortgage payments would be £24,000 a
year leaving you with a loss of £4000 per annum before costs.
However, that’s not the whole story. Rates are expected to
go higher and have already breached 6% for the residential market based on five-year
fixed rates.
At 8% the interest only mortgage on a £400,000 loan Will be
£32,000 a year.
Even if you only borrowed £300,000, the mortgage payment
will be £24,000 a year not only leaving you a loss but an obtainable from the
lender which would want a buffer zone in case of rental void.
The higher the interest rate the less you can borrow.
It’s unlikely that the lender would give you more than
£200,000 based on an 8% interest rate, which would mean that you would need
£300,000 as a deposit.
In short, higher interest rates will wipe out any hope of a
monthly residual yield or profit for buy to let buyers using islands value by
to let mortgages.
Bearing in mind that the high growth model for most
investors is based on using maximum leverage and borrowing against their properties,
higher interest rates will wipe out a large percentage of the potential buyers
as the deals no longer stack up.
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